Original research

Economic evaluation of Maternal Depression Treatment in HIV (M-DEPTH) for perinatal depression among women living with HIV in Uganda: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Abstract

Objective We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of an evidence-based collaborative care model for treatment of perinatal depression among women living with HIV in Uganda.

Design Maternal Depression Treatment in HIV (M-DEPTH) is a cluster randomised controlled trial implemented from July 2019 to August 2023, during which 391 pregnant women with mild-to-severe depressive symptoms were randomised to receive stepped care for depression (M-DEPTH: behavioural and pharmacological treatments) or care as usual (CAU: hospital referral for severe cases), at one of eight public health facilities in Uganda.

Methods We implemented time-driven, activity-based costing to determine the economic cost of M-DEPTH from a societal perspective, compared with CAU. Change in the prevalence of depressive disorder—from enrolment to 18 months postpartum—was quantified using the Patient Health Questionnaire, with depressive disorder assigned a disability weight according to the Global Burden of Disease project. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were expressed as cost per disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted.

Results The estimated economic cost of M-DEPTH was US$128.82 per participant, compared with $1.53 per participant for CAU. At baseline, prevalence of depressive disorder did not differ according to treatment assignment. Remission of depressive disorder was more prevalent among those assigned to M-DEPTH—across all time periods, including 18-month follow-up (aOR: 0.09; 95% CI 0.05 to 0.16; p<0.001). This yielded an ICER of $397 per DALY averted, when limiting benefits to those accrued over the study period. Sensitivity analyses generated estimates ranging from $162 to $418 per DALY averted.

Conclusions M-DEPTH represents a financially feasible task-shifted model of evidence-based perinatal depression screening and treatment. The intervention is cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of less than half of median gross domestic product per capita in Uganda.

Trial registration number NCT03892915.

What is already known on this topic

  • In low and middle-income countries like Uganda, perinatal depression affects more than one in five women throughout the course of their pregnancy.

  • Perinatal depression contributes to mother-to-child transmission of HIV by reducing adherence to antiretroviral therapy as well as adversely affecting maternal and newborn health and early child development.

What this study adds

  • This study represents one of the first cost-effective analyses of perinatal depression care in sub-Saharan Africa and draws on evidence from a cluster-randomised controlled trial.

  • We found that a task-shifted, evidence-based collaborative care model for perinatal depression (M-DEPTH) significantly increased odds of remission of perinatal depressive disorder and cost an average of US$129 per participant.

  • M-DEPTH was highly cost-effective, producing an average incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$397 per disability-adjusted life year averted.

How this study might affect research, practice or policy

  • Based on this analysis, scale-up of M-DEPTH would represent less than 0.5% of the Ugandan health budget, and this investment could pay for itself by reducing the economic burden associated with perinatal depression.

Introduction

Vertical transmission of HIV from mother to child during pregnancy, childbirth and breast feeding has declined sharply over the past decade in many sub-Saharan African countries. Prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) practices, including proper use of antiretrovirals (ARVs), reduces the likelihood of virus transmission from 40% to less than 5%.1 2 In Uganda, specifically, an 86% decrease in HIV infections was observed among children from 2009 to 2015, and greater than 9 in 10 pregnant women living with HIV (WLH) have access to PMTCT services.3

One of the largest remaining weaknesses in PMTCT efforts pertains to perinatal depression—defined as the presence of persistent, moderate-to-severe depressive symptoms over the course of pregnancy or during the postpartum period.4 Prevalence estimates of elevated depressive symptoms vary across countries; however, figures can be found as high as 30% to 50% of pregnant WLH in sub-Saharan Africa—including Uganda.5–7 Among pregnant women, depressive symptoms are predictive of more rapid HIV disease progression8 as well as reduced adherence to antiretroviral therapy.9 10 Furthermore, perinatal depression can have broad effects on newborn health and early child development, ranging from low birth weight to social and emotional developmental delays.11 12

Preliminary research indicates that interventions such as behavioural therapy and antidepressant medications may effectively reduce perinatal depressive symptoms, including in low-resource settings such as Uganda.13 14 However, depressive disorder is seldom diagnosed and treated at antenatal care (ANC) clinics or HIV clinics in Uganda, partly as a result of a limited mental healthcare workforce.15 A potential solution to this resource limitation is to implement a collaborative care model for treating depression, in which lay personnel or non-specialists are trained to provide manualised interventions.16 17 One of the purported advantages of collaborative care models is that they are low cost, as they draw on existing infrastructure and personnel.18

We performed an economic evaluation of Maternal Depression Treatment in HIV (M-DEPTH), a task-shifted, evidence-based collaborative care model for perinatal depression among WLH. A cluster randomised controlled trial (cRCT) of the intervention was conducted across multiple districts of Uganda, during which problem-solving therapy (PST) and antidepressant therapy (ADT) were provided to women participating in ANC services. Specifically, we conducted time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) to measure the societal costs of M-DEPTH compared with care as usual (CAU), and we converted improvements in depression symptom profiles to disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to perform cost-effectiveness analysis. We hypothesised that the M-DEPTH intervention would be highly cost-effective at reducing perinatal depression, meaning that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) would be less than US$964 per DALY averted—equivalent to median gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in Uganda.19

Methods

This study was embedded as part of the larger M-DEPTH cRCT and followed consolidated health economic evaluation reporting standards. A full overview of trial characteristics can be found in the study protocol20 (see online supplemental file), and preliminary results in short-term intervention efficacy are reported elsewhere.21 22 Briefly, participating hospitals and health centres, located in close proximity to one another outside Kampala, were randomised to either CAU or M-DEPTH. A cluster RCT was used, as opposed to individual randomisation, because risk of contamination was too great if both control and intervention clients were treated by the same providers within a given site. Although we were unable to fully prevent contamination, it was mitigated by the extensive distance between individual sites.

CAU for addressing perinatal depression at ANC clinics in Uganda encompasses referrals among patients who exhibit severe depressive symptoms—either to a district, regional or national referral hospital. WLH attending ANC clinics throughout Uganda are also invited to attend monthly Family Support Groups (FSGs) that provide them with education and guidance to support perinatal and postpartum care, including adherence to medications provided in the context of PMTCT.23 However, FSGs do not provide psychotherapy or pharmacotherapy that might be considered a direct mental health service.

The M-DEPTH intervention represented a stepped care approach to providing behavioural and pharmacological treatments24: women with minimal, subthreshold depressive symptoms (Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ)-9 <10) were provided with depression psychoeducation and monthly monitoring of depression. In the event depressive symptoms exceeded PHQ-9 >9 at a later assessment period, individuals were offered treatment at this time. Women with mild or moderate depressive symptoms (PHQ-9 between 10 and 19) were recommended individual PST counselling alone, up to seven bi-weekly sessions; and those with severe depressive symptoms (PHQ-9 >19) were recommended ADT alone—for which the first-line medication was fluoxetine.

While the study protocol outlined these cut-off scores as treatment recommendations, women who were eligible for treatment were allowed to select the treatment modality of their choice. Furthermore, in the event that the initial modality selected was not efficacious, women were offered to change to or add the other modality. CAU, the default in the study setting, comprised screening for depression and referral for specialty care, in the event the client was severely depressed.

Women were eligible to participate in the clinical trial if they were receiving ANC services at a participating facility, scored 5 or greater on the PHQ-9 (reflecting at least minimal depressive symptoms), were medically stable (including being on ARVs for at least 4 weeks) and were not identified as high risk for suicide. Pregnancies at enrolment ranged from 4 to 32 weeks of gestation. Women identified at high risk for suicide, including over the course of the trial, were immediately referred for same-day services, following a standardised protocol on which all staff were trained. All women invited to participate provided written informed consent.

The public and clients were included in the planning and implementation of the research study. A community advisory board was assembled for the purpose of providing the community stakeholders with a voice in the planning and implementation of this study. The board consisted of female clients, service providers and local and district health officials. The study team met with the board during key junctures throughout the study to get its input on study design, intervention content and structure and measurement and interpretation of findings. Furthermore, peer mothers served as interventionists.

Measures

The primary outcome measure was remission of perinatal depression, as assessed by the 9-item version of the PHQ-925 and the Mini Diagnostic Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI).26 The PHQ-9 contains questions pertaining to individuals’ frequency of sadness and other cognitive and somatic symptoms over the previous 2-week period. A threshold of 10 or greater (PHQ-9 ≥10) is commonly used as an estimation of current depressive disorder, as this threshold has been found to be highly predictive of the presence of major depressive disorder. This instrument has also been previously validated in Uganda and was forward-translated and back-translated into Luganda.27 The MINI is a brief diagnostic interview corresponding to DSM criteria for major depressive disorder—quantified as five or more of nine symptoms present and indication of functional impairment. Assessments of depression symptomology were assessed at enrolment, 1 month postpartum as well as 6, 12 and 18 months follow post-partum assessment.

In addition to depression symptoms, we also documented basic demographic and background characteristics of participants. These included patient age in years, receipt of any secondary education (yes/no), relationship status, length of gestation in weeks, and whether the patient was diagnosed with HIV within the last 3 months (yes/no).

Secondarily, we quantified the cost of M-DEPTH and CAU used TDABC. TDABC is a gold-standard framework for cost accounting, in which patients are directly observed as they progress through a health system to quantify all resources they consume.28 Time is used as the primary measurement unit for assigning costs to resources—such as personnel, equipment and space. Finally, as a function of intervention costs and benefits, we measured an ICER. ICERs compare the marginal utility of intervention (M-DEPTH) versus control (CAU) conditions, relative to the marginal cost of the intervention versus control conditions. Further information on this is described below.

Statistical analysis

Health outcomes analysis

Intervention effects were assessed using repeated measures mixed effects logistic regression analysis, from an intention-to-treat perspective. The model contained a random effect to account for repeated observations within each client, and remaining study characteristics were modelled as fixed effects: namely, treatment exposure, time, the interaction between treatment exposure and time as well as a fixed effect for facility assignment. This interaction effect is the primary effect of interest, representing comparative rates of remission (PHQ-9<10) between study arms.

In a secondary analysis, we included four demographic characteristics as covariates: age in years, any secondary education (yes/no), newly diagnosed with HIV (yes/no) and weeks of gestation at enrolment. We found no meaningful difference in the intervention effect estimates between the two analyses: that is, in both models, the interaction between treatment exposure and time was highly significant and ORs were of similar magnitude (less than a 1% difference). Therefore, we report and use the effect estimates from the more parsimonious model.

Cost analysis

We quantified the full economic cost of the intervention, including volunteered and donated resources, and we assumed a societal perspective by incorporating opportunity costs incurred by participants. Unit cost estimates were obtained from various sources, including payroll, invoices and receipts. Staff time was valued at full salary cost, inclusive of benefits and allowances for vacation. We estimated the cost of clinical space based on local rents. All costs were expressed in 2022 US$. Costs measured in 2020 and 2021 were adjusted for inflation.

Cost-effectiveness analysis

Cost-effectiveness of the M-DEPTH intervention was estimated using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach in TreeAge Pro 2023 V.R2.0.29 The primary outcome, absence from perinatal depressive disorder (PHQ-9<10), was converted to changes in disability weights according to the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study,30 following a standard methodology as outlined by Buttorf and colleagues (2012).31 In short, non-depressed individuals were assigned a health state value equivalent to the level of disability observed among those with a PHQ-9 score <10, while those with depressive disorder (PHQ-9≥10) were assigned a decrement equivalent to the disability weight associated with depressive symptom severity.

Based on WHO-CHOICE cost-effectiveness thresholds,32 we identified $964—the median GDP per capita in Uganda19—as a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold for averting one DALY. We also incorporated two sensitivity analyses to provide upper and lower bound estimates for ICERs. First, we varied the discount rate for future health utility from 0% to 5%,33 with 0% set as the base case.34 Discounting is commonly used to make a balanced comparison between programmes whose costs and outcomes are manifest at different intervals. Second, we modelled cost-effectiveness under three scenarios: (1) the base case, for which both costs and intervention effects were terminated at the end of the observation period and (2) two other scenarios in which intervention effects remain stable over a 3-year and 5-year time period from the point of study enrolment.

Finally, to account for uncertainty in the level of disability associated with depressive disorder, we incorporated a 95% CI of disability estimates as reported by WHO Global Burden of Disease point estimates. Specifically, we conducted a probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 100 000 Monte Carlo simulations and quantified the per cent of simulations that M-DEPTH would be considered cost-effective at WTP thresholds ranging from $0 to $1000 US$ per DALY averted, with the default set to $964 as described above.

Results

Sample characteristics

Table 1 presents an inventory of participant characteristics. Overall, trial participants were relatively young, with a mean age of 27.5 years (SD: 5.9); one-fifth (20.8%) were newly diagnosed with HIV, and average week of gestation was 21.3 (SD=22.0). Just over one-third (36.1%) of enrollees in the intervention arm reported mild depressive symptoms (PHQ-9 score: 5–9), with the remaining showing evidence of depressive disorder with either moderate (PHQ-9 score: 10–19) or severe (PHQ-9 score: 20+) symptom profiles. Participants did not differ significantly between the two intervention arms on depressive symptom severity or any other sample characteristic at baseline, although we note that—in the treatment arm—women were more than eight percentage points lower with respect to probability of being depressed.

Table 1
|
Sample characteristics at baseline

Health outcome analysis

Logistic regression analysis identified significantly reduced odds of depression following the end of pregnancy (OR: 0.25; 95% CI 0.15 to 0.43; p<0.001) as well as 6 months (OR: 0.14; 95% CI 0.08 to 0.24; p<0.001), 12 months (OR: 0.08; 95% CI 0.04 to 0.14; p<0.001) and 18 months later (OR: 0.07; 95% CI 0.04 to 0.13; p<0.001) among those assigned to M-DEPTH compared with CAU. The interaction effect between intervention assignment and time (an extension of the difference-in-differences estimator) indicated significantly reduced odds of depression in the M-DEPTH group over time compared with CAU group over time: at end of pregnancy (OR: 0.30, 95% CI 0.14 to 0.64; p=0.002), 6-month follow-up (OR: 0.18, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.42; p<0.001), 12-month follow-up (OR: 0.39, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.93; p=0.03) and 18-month follow-up (OR: 0.27, 95% CI 0.11 to 0.70; p=0.007). Additional details on trial effectiveness outside the scope of these analyses have been reported elsewhere in the literature.21 22

Cost analysis

TDABC estimated that the cost of CAU was $1.53, limited to screening with PHQ-2 and PHQ-9 instruments and referring patients to specialty services when appropriate. We determined that FSGs largely focused on pregnancy and PMTCT support, not mental health or depression care, so we excluded its cost from our calculations. However, to the extent that this support system offered more general psychosocial support, this would have applied equally to both the treatment and control groups.

Among those in the intervention arm, the mean cost was $128.82, representing $93.19 per PST recipient and $198.00 among ADT recipients. As shown in table 2, recipients of PST received an average of six treatment sessions, in addition to screening and enrolment, while recipients of ADT averaged 9 monthly ADT visits. A preponderance of total costs was attributable to indirect rather than direct services—such as training and clinical supervision.

Table 2
|
Direct and indirect costs of M-DEPTH, by activity

Clinical sessions themselves were comparatively inexpensive: $2.98 per PST session, $3.49 for one-time screening and enrolment in the trial, and $3.70 per ADT session (see table 3). For both ADT and PST, the primary cost driver was consumables such as medications, printing materials and refreshments, followed by human resources, overhead, opportunity costs to patients and infrastructure.

Table 3
|
Time and costs of M-DEPTH direct service delivery, by cost category

Cost-effectiveness analysis

The estimated ICER of M-DEPTH versus CAU was $397.35 per DALY averted. This estimate was derived from a base case model in which intervention costs and effects were assumed to cease at the end of the observation period, and there was no discount rate assigned to future utility of health. With annualised discount rates of 3% and 5%, cost-effectiveness declined slightly: to $409.89 per DALY averted and $418.21 per DALY averted, respectively.

If health intervention effects were maintained over a 3-year time period, cost-effectiveness would improve to $266.29 per DALY averted (3% discount rate: $278.42 per DALY averted; 5% discount rate: $286.51 per DALY averted). If health intervention effects were maintained over a 5-year time period, cost-effectiveness would improve even further—to $162.34 per DALY averted (3% discount rate: $174.35 per DALY averted; 5% discount rate: $182.48 per DALY averted).

Figure 1 depicts the percentage of simulations for which M-DEPTH would be deemed cost-effective at WTP thresholds of $0 to $1000. As shown in the figure, in 100% of simulations, M-DEPTH was cost-effective at a default WTP threshold of $964 per DALY averted—Uganda’s median GDP per capita. By contrast, in half of simulations, M-DEPTH was cost-effective at a WTP threshold $397 per DALY averted. In 95% of simulations, M-DEPTH cost-effectiveness estimates fell between $298 and $595 per DALY averted.

Figure 1
Figure 1

Willingness to pay for M-DEPTH versus treatment as usual. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation (100 000 iterations). CAU, care as usual; M-DEPTH, Maternal Depression Treatment in HIV.

Discussion

In this study, we found that the M-DEPTH intervention reduced the odds of current perinatal depression by 88% compared with the CAU. Furthermore, the total cost of the intervention was $128.82—reflecting a weighted average of $93.19 among those who received PST and $198.00 among those who received ADT. Indirect costs, such as training and clinical supervision, accounted for a large percentage of total cost.

The observed cost of M-DEPTH is consistent with similar interventions that have been implemented in other low-resource settings.35–38 For example, a study of an intervention consisting of problem-solving therapy and behavioural modification for adults with mood and anxiety disorders in Pakistan estimated a cost of $163.14 per participant from a health system perspective.38 Another intervention, focused on psychotherapy in India, was estimated to cost $251 per participant from a societal perspective.16 In general, our estimates are slightly lower than those reported elsewhere. This is likely because the M-DEPTH depression care model used existing healthcare system personnel (ie, peer mothers and nurses) to implement the intervention, rather than mental health specialists, although mental health specialists were involved in training and supervision. Costs could have been even lower if mental health specialists within the system (eg, psychiatric nurses at nearby regional referral hospitals) had been used in these roles in some capacity.

With regard to cost-effectiveness, we found that the ICER of M-DEPTH versus CAU was $397.35 per DALY averted, according to our base case scenario. This ICER is below average GDP per capita in Uganda, suggesting it is very cost-effective according to WHO-CHOICE cost-effectiveness thresholds.32 This is in line with the existing literature on similar strategies in low-resource settings that have reported similar cost-effectiveness.16 31 35 36 39 For example, a recent systematic review of cost-effectiveness studies of pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments for depression concluded that engaging lay workers in a community-based setting for delivery of behavioural therapy is a cost-effective approach for depression treatment in low and middle-income counties (LMICs).35 Sensitivity analyses using discount rates of 3% and 5% modified the ICER to $409.89 and $418.21 per DALY averted, respectively. As such, varying the discount rate for future utility of health had little effect on cost-effectiveness—because we restricted the time horizon of our analysis to an upper bound of 5 years. A recent meta-analysis showed that interventions for perinatal depression typically have benefits that last at least 6–12 months, but too few studies have examined longer term effects.40 Had we assumed benefits accrued beyond the 5-year time horizon, cost-effectiveness estimates would have looked even more favourable.

From a budgetary perspective, national scale up of perinatal depression care with the M-DEPTH model would require a sizeable investment from the Government of Uganda. Assuming all pregnant women in Uganda were eligible for screening and about one in five women would qualify for M-DEPTH, this would translate to a cost of roughly $8.3M per year, or 1.1% of the Ugandan health budget as of 2021. Whether such an investment is warranted depends not only on budget impact and cost-effectiveness but also on a range of prioritisation decisions.41 Presently, the Ugandan government only subsidises a portion of all health services in the country; the remaining funds come from development assistance and out-of-pocket payments. As a percentage of total health expenditure, scale-up of M-DEPTH would amount to roughly 0.46%. Previously, a study on the economic burden of perinatal depression and anxiety in South Africa estimated a total societal cost of $2.8 billion, or almost $3000 per pregnancy.42 With this as a reference point, the average cost of implementing M-DEPTH ($128.82 per participant) might be considered a bargain, significantly offsetting the economic toll of perinatal depression.

Limitations

We note some study limitations. First, while our cost analysis assumed a societal perspective and accounted for patients’ opportunity costs and transportation payment, the scope is still limited: we did not account for costs from sources such as informal caregiving or absenteeism and presenteeism that may result from depression. Second, a lack of robust evidence on longevity of intervention effects limited the time horizon over which we could simulate cost-effectiveness estimates. From this vantage point, our estimates are conservative. Third, we would expect returns-to-scale if M-DEPTH was expanded: capital costs that were spread across the limited number of participants in this study would be more broadly distributed as new participants were recruited. Fourth, the interval between treatment assignment and the postpartum assessment varied by as much as 7 months across participants, depending on the gestational age at which they received treatment. The most likely consequence of this would be a reduced treatment effect observed in this trial, relative to what would have been observed if all participants were assessed at a standardised interval shortly after treatment completion. Finally, given the spacing of measurement periods in this trial, we were unable to distinguish gradual improvements in symptomology from spontaneous remission.

Conclusion

Despite these study limitations, this study has several strengths. This includes the use of the TDABC costing approach, and our ability to simulate a range of theoretical scenarios to evaluate the degree of variation in cost-effectiveness estimates. Overall, this study adds to a growing evidence base on the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of care integration and task-shifting to address depression in LMICs; and it is novel in its application of a stepped approach to treating perinatal depression specifically. With perinatal depression being a non-trivial and often undiagnosed cause of disability among pregnant women in Uganda and in similar contexts, this study provides evidence to support the scale-up of integrated approaches like M-DEPTH for screening and treating perinatal depression—which can have long-term effects on maternal health and child development.