Discussion
This study is the first comprehensive investigation of head and neck salivary glands and upper aerodigestive tract cancers (HNACs) in the NT, examining patient demographics, incidence, risk factors and survival outcomes for Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians. It uses data from the NTCR database, covering the Top End and Central Australia Health Services during the study period. The research reveals significant disparities in HNACs outcomes due to the unique features of the NT. These disparities highlight health inequalities compared with the rest of Australia and differences between NT Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients, building on previous studies on HNACs among Indigenous Australians.14 16 18 The NT’s distinct features, such as its vast land area covering one-sixth of Australia, sparsely populated regions with only five remote urban centres (two of which have populations exceeding 10 000), and a significant Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population (28%, the highest in Australia, with 70% residing in remote communities), make it a crucial context for studying HNAC trends among NT Indigenous Australians.19
This study generates significant data to address key research questions regarding HNAC in the NT:
It examines a 10-year epidemiological analysis, including age-standardised incidence.
It conducts survival analysis, encompassing OS and subsite-specific survival.
It investigates risk factors influencing stage at presentation and survival in HNAC, including alcohol and smoking, comorbidities, P16 status, stage at presentation and treatment intent.
This study stands apart from previous research by encompassing a wide time frame and evaluating age-adjusted incidence rates, while also comparing risk factors and survival outcomes across diverse groups, including Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians and individuals from regional, rural and remote areas. Out of the 524 patients diagnosed with head and neck aerodigestive tract cancers (HNAC) during the study period, the majority (82%) were male and non-Indigenous (65%), with a median age of 62 years, which is consistent with the Australian Government’s 2022 data indicating that around half of the newly diagnosed patients with head and neck cancer are male and over the age of 60.20 ,15 21 Notably, the study also incorporated a substantial cohort of Indigenous patients, numbering 186 or 35.5% of the total.
In 2017, the age-standardised incidence of head and neck cancer was reported at 16 cases per 100 000 people, with a higher incidence in males (25 per 100 000) compared with females (7.7 per 100 000).22 ,15 By 2022, the estimated lifetime risk of being diagnosed with head and neck cancer by age 85 was 1 in 58 (1.7% overall), with the risk being greater for males (1 in 39 or 2.6%) than for females (1 in 112 or 0.89%).18 In the NT, the incidence of head and neck cancer was notably higher, 325% greater than in other parts of Australia.23 ,14 Our study over a 10-year period found an incidence of 21.9 new HNAC cases per 100 000 population in the NT, without a discernible trend over time. Significantly, an OR of 11.23 with a 95% CI of 10.26 to 12.28 (p<0.0001) indicates that NT residents are more than eleven times as likely to develop HNAC compared with those in other Australian regions.
Further analysis within the NT reveals a marked difference in HNAC incidence between Indigenous and non-Indigenous populations. Specifically, Indigenous Australians in the NT have an incidence of 24.5 new cases per 100 000 population. A relative risk calculation shows that Indigenous Australians are approximately 2.3 times more likely to suffer from HNAC compared with their non-Indigenous counterparts in the NT, emphasising the heightened risk in this demographic.
The Australian Government24 reported that in 2014–2018, individuals diagnosed with HNACs (including lip) had a 72% chance (71% for males and 74% for females) and 68.2% chance in 2006–2010 (without including lip)15 of surviving for 5 years.18 In America, the 5-year survival between 1992 and 1996 was 55% without including lip. A report for the period of 2002–2006 noted survival improvement to 66%; a finding attributed to better treatment outcomes of HPV-associated HNSCC.19 Our study reveals significantly different overall 5-year survival rates: 39.6% (36.6% for males and 48% for females) overall, 25.6% for Indigenous Australians, and 46% for non-Indigenous counterparts. Five-year survival rates by subsite ranged from 21.4% for nasopharyngeal to 61.8% for salivary gland malignancies. Oropharyngeal malignancies, the most common subsite, had a 5-year survival rate of 36.3%. Lip malignancies, which usually have good survival rates, were not part of this study. Compared with studies outside the NT, our findings indicate lower survival rates for both Indigenous and non-Indigenous HNAC patients, with Indigenous patients experiencing the poorest outcomes.25
Alcohol and tobacco use are well-known risk factors for HNACs, leading to a 2.5-fold increase in the risk of head and neck cancer compared with non-smokers and non-drinkers.26 ,21 Despite the long-term downward trend in tobacco smoking and alcohol abuse in Australia since 1991 (from 24% to 11% in 2019), there is still a high prevalence of smoking and alcohol consumption in remote areas of Australia (19.6%) compared with inner regional areas (13.4%) and major cities (9.7%).27 In our study on HNACs, we found a high prevalence of tobacco and alcohol use, with 91% of patients being smokers and 73% reporting excessive alcohol consumption. This trend contrasts with the national decrease in smoking and alcohol abuse in Australia, particularly highlighting the need for targeted interventions in high-risk, remote areas.28 29 While our data shows these risk factors are significantly present in the HNACs patient population, it does not specifically differentiate between Indigenous and non-Indigenous groups. Given the poorer outcomes in Indigenous populations, further analysis is necessary to determine if these risk factors are more prevalent among Indigenous patients, which would be crucial for understanding and addressing the disparities in HNAC outcomes in the NT30 .
HNACs patients often have associated comorbidities, influenced by behaviours like smoking and high alcohol consumption, which increase disease risk.21 To assess the risk of death within 1 year of hospitalisation due to specific comorbidities, CCI is used, validated for HNAC.31 Comorbidity severity is categorised as mild (CCI 1–2), moderate (CCI 3–4) and severe (CCI>5). Patients with severe comorbidities tend to have worse survival outcomes and more complications.31 32 Our study found a mean CCI of 7.4 (indicating severe comorbidities) at presentation, with no significant difference between Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients. This underscores the need to address comorbidities in HNAC management, particularly in patients with severe comorbidities. Importantly, it challenges the common belief that worse outcomes for Indigenous patients can be solely attributed to higher comorbidities compared with non-Indigenous counterparts.
HPV-associated HNACs, especially oropharyngeal SCC, is on the rise in Australia, particularly among younger, educated and healthy individuals, potentially contributing to better survival rates in this group.33 ,34 Interestingly, we found no studies reporting the prevalence of P16 status in HNAC among the Indigenous population in Australia. P16 data were available for the oropharyngeal subsite in 93% of the patients studied, with 61.88% being P16-negative and 38.12% P16-positive. Patients with P16-positive disease had a 5-year survival of >50%, nearly double that of P16-negative disease (<28%). This aligns with Australian data.25 Analysis by ethnicity revealed a significant difference in disease aetiology between Indigenous and non-Indigenous groups, with only 9.21% of Indigenous patients having P16-positive disease compared with 29.91% in the non-Indigenous group. Overall, the NT population with HNACs is predominantly identified with P16-negative disease, associated with smoking and alcohol intake.
Foley and Varinder emphasised rurality as a significant risk factor for disparities in head and neck cancer diagnosis and treatment.35 Patients with HNAC in rural or remote areas face challenges in accessing initial care, emotional support, rehabilitation and follow-up services, exacerbated by long distances. The entire NT is classified as regional, remote or very remote (ASGL level>3), with a higher proportion of Indigenous patients in very remote areas. Our study revealed a significant trend (p=0.001) of lower survival rates (18%) for patients in very remote areas compared with rural (46%) or regional (52%) areas. Patients in very remote areas had 28% lower odds of survival (OR (95% CI) 0.72 (0.57 to 0.90)) compared with those in rural and regional areas. These findings align with Kaur et al. and underscore the need for targeted interventions to improve outcomes for remote HNAC patients.36
HNACs are severe diseases with significant morbidity and mortality. Clinical stage at diagnosis is a crucial predictor of patient outcomes. Stages I and II offer a 60%–95% chance of cure, while stages III and IV present a greater than 50% risk of recurrence or distant metastasis, leading to higher morbidity and mortality. Late-stage diagnosis and treatment delays contribute to these disparities.37 Indigenous patients are often diagnosed with advanced-stage HNAC compared with non-Indigenous patients, with studies indicating these differences.38
A study in a Northern Queensland regional hospital found 77% of Indigenous patients had advanced-stage cancer, contrasting with 66% of non-Indigenous patients.39 ,40 A report from the NT’s palliative care department noted that 70% of HNAC patients between 2011 and 2014 had advanced-stage disease, leading to palliative care as the primary approach.36 40 Our study showed that only 7.67% of patients were diagnosed at early stages (I–II), while the majority (72.33%) were diagnosed at stages III and IV. Indigenous patients were more likely to present at advanced stages (86%) compared with non-Indigenous patients (66%), resulting in over one-third of the population being offered palliative care at diagnosis, with a higher proportion among Indigenous patients (19%) than non-Indigenous patients (16%).
When we excluded patients who commenced palliative intent treatment in our OS rates for HNACs we realised a figure of 53.4% which is still lower to but more comparable to the survival outcomes reported by the Bureau Australian Statistics.41 We appreciate that reported results will likely include some patients with palliative intent treatment, but the exercise is simply to demonstrate the potential impact of early detection and timely management, which could help reduce the burden of HNACs and improve patient outcomes.17
Patients receiving curative intent treatment had a better survival rate of 53.4%, highlighting the importance of timely diagnosis and access to modalities like surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Early detection is crucial for improving HNAC outcomes. Unfortunately, many Indigenous HNACs patients in the NT present at advanced stages, leading to higher morbidity and mortality. Understanding the reasons and developing early detection strategies are vital. More Indigenous patients receive palliative care due to factors like at-risk behaviours, limited healthcare access, distrust of the system and cultural perspectives. Accessible local treatment options can encourage Indigenous patients to seek care, allowing them to stay close to family members.42–44
Addressing outcome disparities in NT’s HNACs patient population is an urgent public health priority. Identifying at-risk patients in early disease stages through prevention and potential screening measures is crucial. Research has demonstrated that simple oral cancer screening, like mouth examinations, can significantly enhance early detection and outcomes.45 Novel developments such as Point-of-care Analysis for Non-invasive Diagnosis of Oral Cancer (PANDORA) screening kits, designed for oral cancer detection in primary care for high-risk patients, hold promise for early identification, as demonstrated in the PANDORA study).46 Educating primary care providers in remote areas can aid in early patient identification and screening. Access to specialist nurses and clinicians is essential for provider support, and leveraging digital image capture and telehealth services can further enhance patient management.
Expertise and infrastructure are crucial for local treatment. Culturally sensitive care, local community engagement and involving Indigenous ambassadors can build trust and improve early presentation. While all these points of intervention can be instituted there is a cost implication to an already financially stretched NT Healthcare system. Protected funding to facilitate these targeted improvements to local service provision is imperative at both local government and federal level to achieve better outcomes for our patients and help close the healthcare gap. In summary, addressing the issue of late presentation of HNACs in NT requires a multifaceted approach that involves early detection, specialist engagement at primary care level, understanding the barriers to early presentation, and providing culturally safe and sensitive care. Improving trust and building relationships with Indigenous patients and communities can help break down barriers to early presentation, leading to improved outcomes for patients with HNACs (online supplemental addendum 1). HNACs is a flow diagram the authors hope will help achieve an efficient care model for all HNACs patients inclusive of cultural sensitivities that incorporates the findings and discussion points of this study.
Limitations
This retrospective study has inherent limitations, including potential biases, incomplete or inaccurate data and challenges in ascertaining disease-specific mortality. The data are specific to the NT, which has a unique population and geography that may not represent the broader Indigenous population in other Australian states and territories.
Australia’s Indigenous population is diverse, with varying cultural and linguistic backgrounds, potentially impacting the presentation, treatment and outcomes of head and neck cancer (HNACs). Unfortunately, similar studies among Indigenous Australian HNAC patients in other regions and Indigenous populations worldwide are lacking, limiting direct comparisons.
Nonetheless, this study provides valuable detailed demographic and clinical information, including survival analysis, presentation stages, treatment intent and HNAC risk factors in the NT.